Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 2092.274130 2280.249819 2472.195656 2682.567506 2906.358803 3137.024354 3392.453257
2024-10-27 1716.112203 1984.049710 2269.668839 2595.675090 2956.325608 3341.960143 3784.327519
2024-11-03 1577.525576 1902.449460 2259.496389 2678.626611 3154.751749 3676.424351 4288.763411
2024-11-10 1456.876762 1821.497825 2232.605147 2726.609653 3300.127779 3941.023098 4707.244200
2024-11-17 1331.568521 1721.310039 2171.227706 2723.415783 3377.041603 4120.261380 5023.154999
2024-11-24 1211.245363 1616.242292 2094.290788 2692.664557 3413.716746 4246.676556 5273.296549
2024-12-01 1136.634403 1560.176567 2070.054273 2719.342972 3513.919169 4444.332739 5605.201392
2024-12-08 1057.930431 1492.984243 2026.862055 2718.077715 3576.513711 4594.667810 5879.706554
2024-12-15 1012.291605 1464.224005 2028.286237 2769.241217 3701.264888 4818.938733 6243.501991
2024-12-22 940.403130 1396.626595 1976.401286 2749.717713 3735.503354 4931.228170 6470.772954
2024-12-29 909.384644 1380.897615 1989.205716 2810.917620 3869.941126 5166.537835 6849.727702
2025-01-05 862.719348 1341.085256 1968.069093 2826.228992 3944.809318 5327.484463 7137.518300
2025-01-12 814.545656 1297.508250 1940.976435 2833.689380 4010.808329 5480.009887 7419.617438
2025-01-19 733.919523 1204.039273 1842.819661 2743.364562 3947.038104 5466.488372 7492.197141
2025-01-26 722.018811 1207.966239 1876.883595 2829.885570 4114.970057 5749.104138 7941.486199
2025-02-02 698.674356 1193.697137 1884.596556 2879.922275 4234.589236 5970.436151 8314.614347
2025-02-09 659.623830 1153.937284 1854.619691 2876.591979 4281.848798 6097.714532 8567.615001
2025-02-16 614.444498 1102.396398 1805.536247 2844.525247 4288.564238 6170.911241 8750.313624
2025-02-23 590.330329 1081.823852 1799.858050 2872.345142 4376.126257 6350.398814 9072.167651
2025-03-02 559.384639 1048.856875 1774.562298 2871.025809 4422.837312 6475.564990 9323.507674
2025-03-09 545.535492 1042.270700 1787.655073 2924.371217 4545.282040 6702.389415 9710.346801
2025-03-16 512.786023 1003.365445 1750.795229 2904.016264 4563.956613 6789.628985 9912.721210
2025-03-23 503.758988 1002.872761 1771.676558 2967.817830 4701.055191 7037.371298 10330.254228